Match Analysis

SevillavsBarcelona

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

6%
8%
86%
Sevilla winDrawBarcelona win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.60
1.68Avg goals scored4.17
1.65Avg goals conceded0.87
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Sevilla xG

Expected goals

4

Barcelona xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

7%

0–4

7%

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

1–5

6%

0–2

5%

Home

Sevilla

Sevilla

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Barcelona

Barcelona

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

4.2 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Barcelona?

Barcelona is favored with a 86% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sevilla's current form?

Sevilla have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sevilla Win6%
Draw8%
Barcelona Win86%
BTTS65%
Over 2.588%