โšก Match Analysis

Real Sociedad vs Espanyol

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
31%
20%
Real Sociedad winDrawEspanyol win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.40
1.65Avg goals scored0.91
1.84Avg goals conceded1.24
0โ€“3โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“1โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Real Sociedad xG

Expected goals

1.2

Espanyol xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

11%

2โ€“1

10%

1โ€“0

9%

2โ€“0

8%

0โ€“1

7%

1โ€“2

7%

Home

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Espanyol

Espanyol

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Real Sociedadall timeEspanyol
2W
2D
23 May 26
Espanyol1โ€“1Real Sociedad
24 Aug 25
Real Sociedad2โ€“2Espanyol
9 Feb 25
Real Sociedad2โ€“1Espanyol
24 Aug 24
Espanyol0โ€“1Real Sociedad

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?

Real Sociedad is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Real Sociedad's current form?

Real Sociedad have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 La Liga meetings, Real Sociedad won 2, drew 2, and Espanyol won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Real Sociedad Win49%
Draw31%
Espanyol Win20%
BTTS57%
Over 2.555%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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