Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
🇪🇸 La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Real Sociedad xG
Expected goals
1.9
Atletico Madrid xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
0–1
5%
1–3
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $114K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Real Sociedad
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.9
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Atletico Madrid
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?
Atletico Madrid is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Sociedad's current form?
Real Sociedad have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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