Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Real Madrid xG
Expected goals
0.7
Celta Vigo xG
34%
Both Teams to Score
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
18%
0–0
17%
1–1
13%
0–1
12%
2–0
10%
2–1
7%
Home
Real Madrid
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Celta Vigo
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.1 / 0.6
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?
Real Madrid is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Madrid's current form?
Real Madrid have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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