Match Analysis

Real BetisvsBarcelona

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
11%
78%
Real Betis winDrawBarcelona win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game2.60
2.03Avg goals scored4.33
1.88Avg goals conceded1.07
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Real Betis xG

Expected goals

4

Barcelona xG

78%

Both Teams to Score

92%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

6%

1–4

6%

1–2

5%

1–5

5%

2–3

5%

2–4

5%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $65K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Real Betis
11%
37%
-26%
Draw
11%
—
—
Barcelona
78%
63%
+15%
Trade on Polymarket →

Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Real Betis

Real Betis

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Barcelona

Barcelona

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

4.3 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Real Betis vs Barcelona?

Barcelona is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Real Betis's current form?

Real Betis have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Real Betis Win11%
Draw11%
Barcelona Win78%
BTTS78%
Over 2.592%