Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Rayo Vallecano xG
Expected goals
1.5
Espanyol xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
9%
1–2
9%
1–0
8%
2–1
8%
0–2
7%
Home
Rayo Vallecano
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Espanyol
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol?
Espanyol is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?
Rayo Vallecano have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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