Match Analysis

Rayo VallecanovsElche

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
23%
34%
Rayo Vallecano winDrawElche win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.26Avg goals scored1.34
1.81Avg goals conceded1.87
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Rayo Vallecano xG

Expected goals

1.6

Elche xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Elche

Elche

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?

Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?

Rayo Vallecano have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Rayo Vallecano Win43%
Draw23%
Elche Win34%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%