Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Rayo Vallecano xG
Expected goals
1.3
Celta Vigo xG
33%
Both Teams to Score
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
19%
0–0
15%
0–2
13%
1–1
12%
1–0
9%
1–2
8%
Home
Rayo Vallecano
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Celta Vigo
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.1 / 0.6
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Celta Vigo is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?
Rayo Vallecano have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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