Rayo Vallecanovs
Athletic Club
ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Rayo Vallecano xG
Expected goals
1
Athletic Club xG
29%
Both Teams to Score
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
20%
0–1
20%
1–0
12%
1–1
12%
0–2
10%
1–2
6%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $990K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Rayo Vallecano
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Athletic Club
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.9 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club?
Athletic Club is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?
Rayo Vallecano have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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