Match Analysis

OsasunavsRayo Vallecano

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
21%
53%
Osasuna winDrawRayo Vallecano win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.40
1.06Avg goals scored1.26
2.59Avg goals conceded1.80
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Osasuna xG

Expected goals

2.1

Rayo Vallecano xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Osasuna

Osasuna

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?

Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Osasuna's current form?

Osasuna have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Osasuna Win26%
Draw21%
Rayo Vallecano Win53%
BTTS66%
Over 2.568%