Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Osasuna xG
Expected goals
0.9
Málaga xG
41%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
15%
1–1
13%
0–0
12%
0–1
11%
2–0
9%
2–1
8%
Home
Osasuna
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.1 / 2.6
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Málaga
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.5
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Osasuna vs Málaga?
Osasuna is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Osasuna's current form?
Osasuna have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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