Match Analysis

OsasunavsMálaga

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
29%
28%
Osasuna winDrawMálaga win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game0.60
1.06Avg goals scored0.56
2.59Avg goals conceded1.55
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Osasuna xG

Expected goals

0.9

Málaga xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

15%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

0–1

11%

2–0

9%

2–1

8%

Home

Osasuna

Osasuna

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Málaga

Málaga

DLLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Osasuna vs Málaga?

Osasuna is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Osasuna's current form?

Osasuna have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Osasuna Win43%
Draw29%
Málaga Win28%
BTTS41%
Over 2.535%