Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Malaga xG
Expected goals
4
Barcelona xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
7%
0–4
7%
1–3
7%
1–4
7%
0–5
6%
1–5
6%
Home
Malaga
Away
Barcelona
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
4.2 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Malaga vs Barcelona?
Barcelona is favored with a 87% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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