Match Analysis

MalagavsBarcelona

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

5%
8%
87%
Malaga winDrawBarcelona win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game2.60
0.00Avg goals scored4.17
0.00Avg goals conceded0.87
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Malaga xG

Expected goals

4

Barcelona xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

7%

0–4

7%

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

0–5

6%

1–5

6%

Home

Malaga

No data

Away

Barcelona

Barcelona

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

4.2 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Malaga vs Barcelona?

Barcelona is favored with a 87% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Malaga Win5%
Draw8%
Barcelona Win87%
BTTS62%
Over 2.588%