Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Málaga xG
Expected goals
0.9
Athletic Club xG
15%
Both Teams to Score
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
30%
0–1
27%
0–2
12%
1–0
9%
1–1
8%
0–3
4%
Home
Málaga
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.6
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Athletic Club
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.9 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Málaga vs Athletic Club?
Athletic Club is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Málaga's current form?
Málaga have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (30% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 15%. Over 2.5 goals: 12%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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