Match Analysis

LevantevsAthletic Club

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
28%
47%
Levante winDrawAthletic Club win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.76Avg goals scored0.87
2.32Avg goals conceded0.67
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Levante xG

Expected goals

1.3

Athletic Club xG

43%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

14%

1–1

13%

0–0

11%

1–0

10%

0–2

9%

1–2

8%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $213K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Levante
25%
26%
FAIR
Draw
28%
—
—
Athletic Club
47%
74%
-27%
Trade on Polymarket →

Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Levante

Levante

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Levante vs Athletic Club?

Athletic Club is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Levante's current form?

Levante have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Levante Win25%
Draw28%
Athletic Club Win47%
BTTS43%
Over 2.538%