Match Analysis

GetafevsRayo Vallecano

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
32%
46%
Getafe winDrawRayo Vallecano win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
0.48Avg goals scored1.26
1.33Avg goals conceded1.80
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Getafe xG

Expected goals

1.1

Rayo Vallecano xG

34%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

18%

0–0

17%

1–1

13%

1–0

12%

0–2

10%

1–2

7%

Home

Getafe

Getafe

DLWLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?

Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Getafe's current form?

Getafe have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Getafe Win22%
Draw32%
Rayo Vallecano Win46%
BTTS34%
Over 2.527%