โšก Match Analysis

Espanyol vs Sevilla

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
31%
35%
Espanyol winDrawSevilla win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
0.90Avg goals scored0.95
1.21Avg goals conceded1.25
2โ€“1โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“0โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Espanyol xG

Expected goals

0.8

Sevilla xG

33%

Both Teams to Score

24%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0โ€“0

18%

1โ€“0

16%

0โ€“1

15%

1โ€“1

13%

2โ€“0

7%

0โ€“2

6%

Home

Espanyol

Espanyol

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Sevilla

Sevilla

LLWWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Espanyolall timeSevilla
1W
1D
2W
9 May 26
Sevilla2โ€“1Espanyol
24 Nov 25
Espanyol2โ€“1Sevilla
25 Jan 25
Sevilla1โ€“1Espanyol
25 Oct 24
Espanyol0โ€“2Sevilla

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Espanyol vs Sevilla?

Sevilla is favored with a 35% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Espanyol's current form?

Espanyol have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 La Liga meetings, Espanyol won 1, drew 1, and Sevilla won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0โ€“0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Espanyol Win34%
Draw31%
Sevilla Win35%
BTTS33%
Over 2.524%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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