Match Analysis

EspanyolvsAtlético Madrid

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

16%
20%
64%
Espanyol winDrawAtlético Madrid win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.60
1.29Avg goals scored2.27
1.40Avg goals conceded0.97
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Espanyol xG

Expected goals

2.1

Atlético Madrid xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

11%

0–1

10%

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–3

8%

1–3

7%

Home

Espanyol

Espanyol

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Espanyol's current form?

Espanyol have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Espanyol Win16%
Draw20%
Atlético Madrid Win64%
BTTS52%
Over 2.558%