Match Analysis

ElchevsSevilla

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
21%
47%
Elche winDrawSevilla win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.34Avg goals scored1.68
1.87Avg goals conceded1.65
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Elche xG

Expected goals

2.1

Sevilla xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Elche

Elche

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Sevilla

Sevilla

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Elche vs Sevilla?

Sevilla is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Elche's current form?

Elche have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Elche Win32%
Draw21%
Sevilla Win47%
BTTS72%
Over 2.573%