Elche vs Real Sociedad
๐ช๐ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Elche xG
Expected goals
1.4
Real Sociedad xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1โ1
9%
2โ1
9%
1โ0
7%
1โ2
7%
2โ0
7%
2โ2
7%
Home
Elche
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.2
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Real Sociedad
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.9
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head ยท Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Elche vs Real Sociedad?
Elche is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Elche's current form?
Elche have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 La Liga meetings, Elche won 0, drew 1, and Real Sociedad won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1โ1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets โ
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from La Liga