Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Elche xG
Expected goals
2.7
Real Madrid xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
9%
1–2
9%
0–3
8%
1–3
8%
0–1
7%
1–1
7%
Home
Elche
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Real Madrid
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Elche vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Elche's current form?
Elche have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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