Match Analysis

Celta VigovsVillarreal

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
30%
20%
Celta Vigo winDrawVillarreal win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.40
1.06Avg goals scored1.55
0.65Avg goals conceded1.53
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Celta Vigo xG

Expected goals

0.7

Villarreal xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

18%

0–0

15%

1–1

13%

2–0

11%

0–1

10%

2–1

8%

Home

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DDWLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Villarreal

Villarreal

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Villarreal?

Celta Vigo is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celta Vigo's current form?

Celta Vigo have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Celta Vigo Win50%
Draw30%
Villarreal Win20%
BTTS35%
Over 2.530%