โšก Match Analysis

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
19%
30%
Celta Vigo winDrawAthletic Club win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.80
1.41Avg goals scored1.29
1.45Avg goals conceded1.91
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“1โ€“3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Celta Vigo xG

Expected goals

1.4

Athletic Club xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“1

9%

1โ€“1

8%

2โ€“0

7%

3โ€“1

7%

1โ€“0

6%

1โ€“2

6%

Home

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

WDLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

LDLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Celta Vigoall timeAthletic Club
2W
1D
3W
17 May 26
Athletic Club1โ€“1Celta Vigo
14 Dec 25
Celta Vigo2โ€“0Athletic Club
19 Jan 25
Celta Vigo1โ€“2Athletic Club
22 Sep 24
Athletic Club3โ€“1Celta Vigo
15 May 24
Celta Vigo2โ€“1Athletic Club
10 Nov 23
Athletic Club4โ€“3Celta Vigo

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?

Celta Vigo is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celta Vigo's current form?

Celta Vigo have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Celta Vigo won 2, drew 1, and Athletic Club won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Celta Vigo Win51%
Draw19%
Athletic Club Win30%
BTTS68%
Over 2.571%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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