Match Analysis

BarcelonavsCelta Vigo

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

71%
19%
10%
Barcelona winDrawCelta Vigo win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.20
4.17Avg goals scored1.06
0.87Avg goals conceded0.65
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Barcelona xG

Expected goals

0.6

Celta Vigo xG

39%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

15%

2–0

15%

3–0

10%

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

7%

Home

Barcelona

Barcelona

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

4.2 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Barcelona vs Celta Vigo?

Barcelona is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Barcelona's current form?

Barcelona have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Barcelona Win71%
Draw19%
Celta Vigo Win10%
BTTS39%
Over 2.548%