Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Barcelona xG
Expected goals
0.6
Celta Vigo xG
39%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
15%
2–0
15%
3–0
10%
1–1
9%
2–1
9%
0–0
7%
Home
Barcelona
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
4.2 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Celta Vigo
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.1 / 0.6
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Barcelona vs Celta Vigo?
Barcelona is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Barcelona's current form?
Barcelona have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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