Barcelona vs Athletic Club
🇪🇸 La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
Barcelona xG
Expected goals
0.9
Athletic Club xG
56%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
10%
2–1
9%
3–0
9%
3–1
8%
1–0
7%
1–1
6%
Home
Barcelona
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Athletic Club
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Barcelona vs Athletic Club?
Barcelona is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Barcelona's current form?
Barcelona have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Barcelona won 5, drew 1, and Athletic Club won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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