Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.5
Barcelona xG
Expected goals
0.8
Alavés xG
53%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
10%
2–0
8%
3–1
8%
4–0
8%
2–1
7%
4–1
7%
Home
Barcelona
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
4.2 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Alavés
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.1
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Barcelona vs Alavés?
Barcelona is favored with a 87% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Barcelona's current form?
Barcelona have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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