Match Analysis

Atlético MadridvsValencia

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

88%
8%
4%
Atlético Madrid winDrawValencia win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.80
2.27Avg goals scored0.93
0.97Avg goals conceded1.93
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.3

Atlético Madrid xG

Expected goals

0.6

Valencia xG

43%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

12%

2–0

11%

4–0

10%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Valencia

Valencia

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético Madrid vs Valencia?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético Madrid's current form?

Atlético Madrid have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético Madrid Win88%
Draw8%
Valencia Win4%
BTTS43%
Over 2.575%