Match Analysis

Atlético MadridvsOsasuna

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

91%
6%
3%
Atlético Madrid winDrawOsasuna win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.40
2.27Avg goals scored1.06
0.97Avg goals conceded2.59
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Atlético Madrid xG

Expected goals

0.7

Osasuna xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

10%

4–0

10%

5–0

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

4–1

7%

Home

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Osasuna

Osasuna

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético Madrid's current form?

Atlético Madrid have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético Madrid Win91%
Draw6%
Osasuna Win3%
BTTS49%
Over 2.585%