Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Athletic Club xG
Expected goals
0.8
Real Sociedad xG
40%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
16%
1–1
13%
0–0
12%
0–1
10%
2–0
10%
2–1
8%
Home
Athletic Club
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.9 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Real Sociedad
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.9
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?
Athletic Club is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Athletic Club's current form?
Athletic Club have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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