Match Analysis

AlavésvsValencia

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

68%
20%
12%
Alavés winDrawValencia win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
1.35Avg goals scored0.93
1.12Avg goals conceded1.93
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Alavés xG

Expected goals

0.7

Valencia xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

2–0

13%

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

3–0

9%

0–0

7%

Home

Alavés

Alavés

DDLLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Valencia

Valencia

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Alavés vs Valencia?

Alavés is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Alavés's current form?

Alavés have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Alavés Win68%
Draw20%
Valencia Win12%
BTTS44%
Over 2.551%