Match Analysis

AlavésvsMálaga

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

67%
24%
9%
Alavés winDrawMálaga win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.60
1.35Avg goals scored0.56
1.12Avg goals conceded1.55
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Alavés xG

Expected goals

0.4

Málaga xG

26%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

22%

2–0

17%

0–0

14%

1–1

9%

3–0

9%

2–1

7%

Home

Alavés

Alavés

DDLLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Málaga

Málaga

DLLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Alavés vs Málaga?

Alavés is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Alavés's current form?

Alavés have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 26%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Alavés Win67%
Draw24%
Málaga Win9%
BTTS26%
Over 2.532%