Match Analysis

AlavésvsEspanyol

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
27%
25%
Alavés winDrawEspanyol win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.00
1.35Avg goals scored1.29
1.12Avg goals conceded1.40
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Alavés xG

Expected goals

1

Espanyol xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

9%

0–1

9%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

Home

Alavés

Alavés

DDLLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Espanyol

Espanyol

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Alavés vs Espanyol?

Alavés is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Alavés's current form?

Alavés have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Alavés Win48%
Draw27%
Espanyol Win25%
BTTS48%
Over 2.543%