Match Analysis

V-Varen NagasakivsTokyo Verdy 1969

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
25%
11%
V-Varen Nagasaki winDrawTokyo Verdy 1969 win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.60
1.21Avg goals scored0.41
1.65Avg goals conceded1.63
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

Expected goals

0.5

Tokyo Verdy 1969 xG

31%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

20%

2–0

16%

0–0

12%

1–1

10%

2–1

8%

3–0

8%

Home

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DDWLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Tokyo Verdy 1969

Tokyo Verdy 1969

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.4 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy 1969?

V-Varen Nagasaki is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is V-Varen Nagasaki's current form?

V-Varen Nagasaki have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

V-Varen Nagasaki Win64%
Draw25%
Tokyo Verdy 1969 Win11%
BTTS31%
Over 2.535%