Match Analysis

V-Varen NagasakivsShimizu S-Pulse

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
27%
49%
V-Varen Nagasaki winDrawShimizu S-Pulse win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
0.99Avg goals scored1.24
1.71Avg goals conceded1.20
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

Expected goals

1.5

Shimizu S-Pulse xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

14%

1–1

12%

0–2

10%

0–0

9%

1–2

9%

1–0

8%

Home

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DDDWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Shimizu S-Pulse

Shimizu S-Pulse

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Shimizu S-Pulse is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is V-Varen Nagasaki's current form?

V-Varen Nagasaki have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

V-Varen Nagasaki Win24%
Draw27%
Shimizu S-Pulse Win49%
BTTS46%
Over 2.543%