Match Analysis

V-Varen NagasakivsKawasaki Frontale

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

17%
17%
66%
V-Varen Nagasaki winDrawKawasaki Frontale win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.60
0.99Avg goals scored2.25
1.72Avg goals conceded1.69
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

Expected goals

2.6

Kawasaki Frontale xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–3

8%

0–2

7%

1–1

7%

0–3

6%

2–2

6%

Home

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DDDWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Kawasaki Frontale

Kawasaki Frontale

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Kawasaki Frontale is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is V-Varen Nagasaki's current form?

V-Varen Nagasaki have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

V-Varen Nagasaki Win17%
Draw17%
Kawasaki Frontale Win66%
BTTS67%
Over 2.575%