Match Analysis

V-Varen NagasakivsCerezo Osaka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
27%
30%
V-Varen Nagasaki winDrawCerezo Osaka win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.80
0.99Avg goals scored0.93
1.71Avg goals conceded1.76
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)0–4–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

Expected goals

1.1

Cerezo Osaka xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

11%

0–1

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

8%

2–0

8%

Home

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DDDWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

DDDLD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?

V-Varen Nagasaki is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is V-Varen Nagasaki's current form?

V-Varen Nagasaki have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

V-Varen Nagasaki Win43%
Draw27%
Cerezo Osaka Win30%
BTTS50%
Over 2.546%