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PaceScore/🇯🇵 J1 League/Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama
⚡ Match Analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama

🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
28%
19%
Urawa Red Diamonds winDrawFagiano Okayama win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.29Avg goals scored1.46
0.93Avg goals conceded1.35
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Urawa Red Diamonds xG

Expected goals

1

Fagiano Okayama xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

12%

1–1

12%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

8%

0–1

8%

Home

Urawa Red Diamonds

Urawa Red Diamonds

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 3 meetings

Urawa Red Diamondsall timeFagiano Okayama
2W
1D
31 May 26
Fagiano Okayama1–1Urawa Red Diamonds
30 Nov 25
Fagiano Okayama0–1Urawa Red Diamonds
8 Mar 25
Urawa Red Diamonds1–0Fagiano Okayama

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama?

Urawa Red Diamonds is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Urawa Red Diamonds's current form?

Urawa Red Diamonds have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 3 J1 League meetings, Urawa Red Diamonds won 2, drew 1, and Fagiano Okayama won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 3 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Urawa Red Diamonds Win53%
Draw28%
Fagiano Okayama Win19%
BTTS49%
Over 2.546%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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More from J1 League

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