Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus
๐ฏ๐ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected goals
1.2
Nagoya Grampus xG
66%
Both Teams to Score
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2โ1
8%
3โ1
8%
2โ0
7%
3โ0
7%
4โ1
6%
1โ1
5%
Home
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.9
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
Nagoya Grampus
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 2.0
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sanfrecce Hiroshima's current form?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 J1 League meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 3, drew 0, and Nagoya Grampus won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2โ1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets โ
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from J1 League