Match Analysis

Nagoya GrampusvsMito Hollyhock

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
25%
26%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.40
1.39Avg goals scored1.00
1.51Avg goals conceded1.42
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected goals

1

Mito Hollyhock xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

12%

1–1

12%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Mito Hollyhock?

Nagoya Grampus is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?

Nagoya Grampus have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nagoya Grampus Win49%
Draw25%
Mito Hollyhock Win26%
BTTS50%
Over 2.548%