โšก Match Analysis

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
23%
55%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
1.81Avg goals scored1.28
1.95Avg goals conceded0.90
1โ€“1โ€“3Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“1โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected goals

1.8

Machida Zelvia xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

10%

1โ€“2

9%

0โ€“1

7%

0โ€“2

7%

2โ€“1

7%

1โ€“0

6%

Home

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

LDLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

WDWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Nagoya Grampusall timeMachida Zelvia
1D
3W
30 May 26
Nagoya Grampus2โ€“2Machida Zelvia
30 Nov 25
Machida Zelvia3โ€“1Nagoya Grampus
2 Mar 25
Nagoya Grampus1โ€“2Machida Zelvia
2 Mar 24
Nagoya Grampus0โ€“1Machida Zelvia

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?

Nagoya Grampus have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 0, drew 1, and Machida Zelvia won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Nagoya Grampus Win22%
Draw23%
Machida Zelvia Win55%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%

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