Match Analysis

Nagoya GrampusvsKyoto Sanga

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
20%
17%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawKyoto Sanga win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
1.39Avg goals scored0.92
1.51Avg goals conceded1.91
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected goals

1

Kyoto Sanga xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?

Nagoya Grampus is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?

Nagoya Grampus have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nagoya Grampus Win63%
Draw20%
Kyoto Sanga Win17%
BTTS55%
Over 2.560%