Match Analysis

Nagoya GrampusvsAvispa Fukuoka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
23%
20%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawAvispa Fukuoka win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
1.39Avg goals scored0.99
1.51Avg goals conceded1.69
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected goals

1

Avispa Fukuoka xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

6%

0–1

6%

Home

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

DWLLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Nagoya Grampus is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?

Nagoya Grampus have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nagoya Grampus Win57%
Draw23%
Avispa Fukuoka Win20%
BTTS53%
Over 2.553%