Match Analysis

Machida ZelviavsKashiwa Reysol

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
18%
26%
Machida Zelvia winDrawKashiwa Reysol win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
2.14Avg goals scored2.51
1.15Avg goals conceded1.66
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.8

Machida Zelvia xG

Expected goals

2

Kashiwa Reysol xG

81%

Both Teams to Score

86%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

6%

2–2

6%

3–1

6%

3–2

6%

1–1

5%

1–2

5%

Home

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Machida Zelvia's current form?

Machida Zelvia have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Machida Zelvia Win56%
Draw18%
Kashiwa Reysol Win26%
BTTS81%
Over 2.586%