Match Analysis

Machida ZelviavsFagiano Okayama

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

67%
18%
15%
Machida Zelvia winDrawFagiano Okayama win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
2.14Avg goals scored1.36
1.15Avg goals conceded1.45
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Machida Zelvia xG

Expected goals

1.1

Fagiano Okayama xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

2–0

9%

1–1

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

3–0

7%

Home

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Machida Zelvia's current form?

Machida Zelvia have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Machida Zelvia Win67%
Draw18%
Fagiano Okayama Win15%
BTTS61%
Over 2.568%