⚡ Match Analysis
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
72%
22%
6%
Kashiwa Reysol winDrawKyoto Sanga win
Key Stats
2.40Points per game0.60
1.70Avg goals scored1.01
1.26Avg goals conceded2.08
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.1
Kashiwa Reysol xG
Expected goals
1
Kyoto Sanga xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
8%
2–1
8%
3–0
8%
3–1
8%
4–0
6%
4–1
6%
Home
Kashiwa Reysol
WWWWL
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.3
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Kyoto Sanga
LWLLL
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Kashiwa Reysolall timeKyoto Sanga
2W
2D
30 May 26
Kyoto Sanga2–6Kashiwa Reysol
2 Apr 25
Kyoto Sanga1–1Kashiwa Reysol
25 Feb 24
Kashiwa Reysol1–1Kyoto Sanga
6 Aug 23
Kyoto Sanga0–1Kashiwa Reysol
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga?
Kashiwa Reysol is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Kashiwa Reysol's current form?
Kashiwa Reysol have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Kashiwa Reysol won 2, drew 2, and Kyoto Sanga won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Kashiwa Reysol Win72%
Draw22%
Kyoto Sanga Win6%
BTTS60%
Over 2.578%
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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
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