Match Analysis

Gamba OsakavsFagiano Okayama

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
26%
41%
Gamba Osaka winDrawFagiano Okayama win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
0.89Avg goals scored1.12
1.79Avg goals conceded1.72
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Gamba Osaka xG

Expected goals

1.4

Fagiano Okayama xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

7%

0–2

7%

Home

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?

Fagiano Okayama is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Gamba Osaka's current form?

Gamba Osaka have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Gamba Osaka Win33%
Draw26%
Fagiano Okayama Win41%
BTTS53%
Over 2.548%