Match Analysis

Gamba OsakavsCerezo Osaka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
37%
37%
Gamba Osaka winDrawCerezo Osaka win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.20
0.64Avg goals scored0.69
1.74Avg goals conceded1.27
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Gamba Osaka xG

Expected goals

0.8

Cerezo Osaka xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

17%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

25%

0–1

20%

1–0

15%

1–1

12%

0–2

8%

1–2

5%

Home

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

DDLDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?

Cerezo Osaka is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Gamba Osaka's current form?

Gamba Osaka have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Gamba Osaka Win26%
Draw37%
Cerezo Osaka Win37%
BTTS25%
Over 2.517%