Match Analysis

FC TokyovsNagoya Grampus

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

83%
12%
5%
FC Tokyo winDrawNagoya Grampus win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game0.20
1.98Avg goals scored1.04
0.60Avg goals conceded1.63
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

FC Tokyo xG

Expected goals

0.4

Nagoya Grampus xG

30%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

17%

1–0

14%

3–0

14%

4–0

9%

2–1

7%

0–0

6%

Home

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?

FC Tokyo is favored with a 83% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is FC Tokyo's current form?

FC Tokyo have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

FC Tokyo Win83%
Draw12%
Nagoya Grampus Win5%
BTTS30%
Over 2.555%