โšก Match Analysis

Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
27%
34%
Fagiano Okayama winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game3.00
1.57Avg goals scored1.73
1.23Avg goals conceded0.93
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)5โ€“0โ€“0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Fagiano Okayama xG

Expected goals

1.6

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

11%

0โ€“1

9%

1โ€“2

9%

0โ€“2

7%

1โ€“0

7%

2โ€“1

7%

Home

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

WDLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.9

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 3 meetings

Fagiano Okayamaall timeSanfrecce Hiroshima
2W
1D
2 May 26
Fagiano Okayama1โ€“0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
14 Feb 26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1โ€“1Fagiano Okayama
12 Apr 25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0โ€“1Fagiano Okayama

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Fagiano Okayama is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?

Fagiano Okayama have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 3 J1 League meetings, Fagiano Okayama won 2, drew 1, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 3 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Fagiano Okayama Win39%
Draw27%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win34%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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