Match Analysis

Fagiano OkayamavsMito Hollyhock

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
26%
24%
Fagiano Okayama winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.40
1.36Avg goals scored1.00
1.45Avg goals conceded1.42
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Fagiano Okayama xG

Expected goals

1

Mito Hollyhock xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

12%

1–1

12%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

8%

0–1

8%

Home

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?

Fagiano Okayama is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?

Fagiano Okayama have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fagiano Okayama Win50%
Draw26%
Mito Hollyhock Win24%
BTTS49%
Over 2.546%