Match Analysis

Fagiano OkayamavsKyoto Sanga

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
23%
24%
Fagiano Okayama winDrawKyoto Sanga win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.80
1.36Avg goals scored1.13
1.45Avg goals conceded1.67
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Fagiano Okayama xG

Expected goals

1.1

Kyoto Sanga xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

10%

2–1

10%

2–0

9%

0–0

6%

0–1

6%

Home

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?

Fagiano Okayama is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?

Fagiano Okayama have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fagiano Okayama Win53%
Draw23%
Kyoto Sanga Win24%
BTTS56%
Over 2.555%